18 months after the start of the pandemic, access to vaccination is now the main factor setting the pace of people's daily lives and the global economy. GDP growth forecasts for 2021 have been revised upwards (+5.6%), but this is mainly the result of positive surprises from the United States. These improved growth prospects are reflected in world trade: after a 5% decline in volume last year, Coface forecasts an 11% increase for 2021.
The rating agency Fitch, on 20th April 2021, affirmed Coface AA- Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) rating. The agency also removed the Rating Watch Negative. The outlook is now stable.
Remote work has emerged as a new norm during the Covid-19 pandemic. This cultural shift could allow companies located in developed countries to hire teleworking talent in emerging countries to reduce their labour costs.
Insolvencies in Germany dropped significantly in 2020 compared to 2019 - despite the worst recession since 2009.
Coface expects an increase in bond defaults and insolvencies in 2021, especially among sectors that accumulated higher cash-flow risks in 2020 amid a slowdown in credit growth.
Coface’s 2021 Asia Corporate Payment Survey provides insights into the evolution of payment behavior and credit management practices of over 2,500 companies across Asia Pacific during a pandemic year. Respondents came from nine markets (Australia, China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Taiwan) and 13 sectors located in the Asia Pacific region.
More than a year after the start of the pandemic, global economic trends are uneven due to lingering uncertainties around the spread of COVID-19. The acceleration of the vaccination process, as well as its effectiveness, are key to an economic recovery
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